Earlier this fall, my friends got together and placed friendly bets on when the first measurable snow would fall in East Middlebury. My bet was for October 28th, so I was excited earlier this week to read forecasts of accumulating snow on Thursday night. Then, yesterday morning, the snow was all but removed from the forecast!
So, what gives? Why do the forecasts seem to change so much? Are the meteorologists just guessing? Is there a forecaster bias towards dramatic (or comfortable) weather? Or, is there something else going on?