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Politically Thinking: Obama visit sends wrong message

Posted on February 16, 2012 |
By Eric L. Davis



The White House and the Obama re-election campaign should reconsider their plans for the president’s trip to Vermont at the end of March. Obama will be taking a quick trip to Burlington and to Portland, Maine, on March 30 solely for the purpose of fundraising. All the events in Burlington will be at the Sheraton.

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Politically Thinking: Education is best in war on obesity

Posted on February 2, 2012 |
By Eric L. Davis



Childhood obesity is a growing public health problem in the United States. More than one-third of all children and adolescents in America are estimated to be overweight or obese, and thus at greater risk for developing heart disease and diabetes later in their lives. Childhood obesity rates in Vermont, at about 25 percent, are somewhat lower than in the nation as a whole.

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Politically Thinking: Romney a legitimate contender

Posted on January 5, 2012 |
By Eric L. Davis



Regardless of the outcome of the Iowa caucuses, Mitt Romney is the only Republican presidential candidate with the organizational and financial resources to win the nomination. While any prediction about the outcome of the general election made 10 months in advance needs to be taken with a great deal of caution, I can construct a plausible scenario through which Romney could defeat President Obama.

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Politically Thinking: Brock facing an uphill challenge

Posted on December 22, 2011 |
By Eric L. Davis



Randy Brock, the Franklin County state senator and former state auditor, announced two weeks ago that he would be running for governor in 2012 as the Republican candidate. What are the opportunities and challenges facing Brock as he begins his gubernatorial campaign?

Brock has experience as a statewide candidate, having run for auditor in 2004 and 2006. He is very knowledgeable on the issues facing Vermont, and will present his views effectively on the campaign trail. He will be a worthy opponent in debates with Gov. Peter Shumlin.

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Politically Thinking: Power deal needs careful review

Posted on November 10, 2011 |
By Eric L. Davis



The Vermont Public Service Board has opened its review of the proposed purchase of Central Vermont Public Service by Gaz Metro, the Canadian utility that is the corporate parent of Green Mountain Power, and the subsequent merger of CVPS into GMP. One of the most important issues the PSB must decide in this preliminary phase of the proceeding is whether to grant the petition filed by Sen. Vincent Illuzzi, R-Essex-Orleans, and 45 other Vermont ratepayers to appoint an independent counsel to represent the public interest before the board.

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Politically Thinking: Risk to Vt. in 2012 is a GOP sweep

Posted on October 13, 2011 |
By Eric L. Davis



Gov. Shumlin and Vermont’s Democratic legislative majorities do not need to be overly concerned about re-election in 2012. However, they do face a major political risk next year: the impacts of Republican control of both the presidency and Congress on Vermont’s fiscal policy.

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Politically Thinking: Obama faces re-election challenge

Posted on September 29, 2011 |
By Eric L. Davis



Projecting electoral votes in 2012 demonstrates the challenges facing President Obama’s re-election. Even before any votes are cast, Obama’s path to 270 electoral votes is difficult due to changes in the apportionment of House seats and electoral votes following the 2010 census. Because of shifts in population from the Northeast and Midwest to the South and Southwest, the states Obama won in 2008 will have eight fewer electoral votes in 2012 than in 2008.

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Politically Thinking: Extra session could focus on Irene

Posted on September 15, 2011 |
By Eric L. Davis



When the Vermont Legislature adjourned last May, lawmakers set Oct. 18 as the date for a possible special session on the consequences of federal budget cuts on the state’s finances. The special congressional committee established in the agreement to raise the federal debt ceiling will not report until November, so the extent of federal budget cuts impacting Vermont will not be known until early next year.

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Politically Thinking: Even court win might not save V.Y.

Posted on July 21, 2011 |
By Eric L. Davis



As the March 2012 expiration date of Vermont Yankee’s certificate of public good from the state of Vermont comes ever closer, the future of the nuclear power plant will be determined by legal, regulatory and economic issues that will play out in the months ahead.

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Politically Thinking: Much is riding on CVPS acquisition

Posted on July 7, 2011 |
By Eric L. Davis



The bidding war between two Canadian utilities for control of Central Vermont Public Service has both economic and political implications for Vermont.

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